行政建制、动力机制与绩效分化:百强县中“县”的实证研究

Administrative Divisions, Dynamic Mechanisms, and Performance Differentiation: An Empirical Study of ‘Counties' in China's Top 100 Counties

  • 摘要: 县域差异化发展是理解城乡融合的关键,现有研究多将县与县级市混合分析,容易忽略行政建制的影响。本文基于2016—2025年赛迪百强县榜单,以县(旗)为研究样本,县级市为对照组,构建“建制—区域/机制—绩效”的分析框架,从总体比较、区域分组、机制分组3个层次剖析百强县的演变趋势和绩效差异。研究发现,百强县中:1)县的数量呈V型波动,头部席位趋于固化,其余县仍处于动态赶超中,其区域格局演变与县级市并不同步;2)县的发展可归纳为5类动力机制,各机制绩效差异显著、城乡传导效率分明;3)县的城乡差距更小,但该优势有赖于区域条件与动力机制的支撑,行政建制提供了理解绩效分化的制度视角,但在区域条件与动力机制的调节下呈现不同表现。研究据此提出构建差异化治理体系,为县域高质量发展与城乡融合提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Differentiated development at the county level is key to understanding urban-rural integration, yet existing studies often analyze counties and county-level cities together, overlooking the influence of administrative establishment. Based on the 2016—2025 CCID Top 100 Counties ranking, this paper takes counties and banners as the research group and county-level cities as the control group, constructs an analytical framework of ‘administrative establishment-region/mechanism-performance', and examines the evolutionary trends and performance differences of counties in the Top 100 through three levels: overall comparison, regional comparison, and mechanism-based comparison. The findings show that, among the Top 100 counties: 1) The number of counties exhibits a V-shaped fluctuation, with top-tier seats becoming increasingly entrenched while the remaining counties remain in a dynamic catch-up-and-surpass process, and the evolution of their regional pattern is not synchronized with that of countylevel cities. 2) The development of these counties can be categorized into five types of dynamic mechanisms, with significant performance differentiation and distinct gradients in urban-rural spillover efficiency across mechanisms. 3) Counties demonstrate smaller urban-rural income gaps, yet this advantage depends on the support of regional conditions and dynamic mechanisms. Administrative establishment provides an institutional lens for understanding performance differentiation, but its effects vary under the moderating influence of regional conditions and dynamic mechanisms. The study proposes constructing a differentiated governance system to provide reference for highquality county development and urban-rural integration.

     

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