湖北省县城建设供需错配认知与优化策略研究

Analysis of Supply-Demand Mismatch and Optimization Strategies for County Construction in Hubei Province

  • 摘要: 国家要求坚持以人为核心推进新型城镇化,补齐县城短板弱项更好满足农民到县城就业安家需求和县城居民生产生活需要。既有研究普遍关注县城建设的供给侧特征,较少从居民需求视角分析其吸引力不足的内在机制。本文从“供需匹配”的视角出发,考察县城在居住环境、公共服务、游憩场所、交通出行、就业平台等方面的建设,与已进城人群留城及未进城人群进城需求之间的契合关系。首先通过问卷调查等手段认识居民对县城建设的主观诉求,发现当前居民更关注民生与发展等关键问题,而对提升生活品质与城市形象等方面的需求相对次之。然后结合多源数据认识县城建设现状,两相对比揭示了湖北省县城建设“供需错配”的典型症结可总结为“过度供给但需求不足”“供给不足但需求旺盛”两大类。最后基于需求响应的目标,针对错配问题提出优化策略。

     

    Abstract: In line with the national people-centered new urbanization strategy, which aims to strengthen counties by addressing their weaknesses and meeting the needs of both migrants and current residents, this study examines county development from a ‘supply-demand matching' perspective. Specifically, this matching refers to the alignment between county construction in terms of living environment, public services, recreational facilities, transportation, and employment platforms, and the needs of two groups: those who have moved to counties and intend to stay long-term, and those who have not yet moved but consider doing so. While existing research focuses mainly on the supply side, this paper investigates the insufficient attractiveness of counties from the resident demand side. Firstly, this paper identifies the subjective demands of residents through questionnaire surveys and finds that they prioritize essential livelihood and development issues over quality-of-life and image-building projects. Then, drawing on multi-source data, it assesses the current state of county construction. By comparing these findings with multi-source data regarding the current county conditions in Hubei, we reveal two main types of ‘supplydemand mismatch': ‘oversupply with low demand' and ‘undersupply with high demand'. Finally, demand-oriented optimization strategies are proposed accordingly.

     

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